Frances Bula header image 2

Green NDP candidates win in Vancouver, surge in West Van. What does it mean?

May 15th, 2013 · 147 Comments

I note that the places where the NDP did make a few gains were in particular spots where the NDP candidates managed to combine the usual party line with a green message: West Vancouver-Sea to Sky, where NDP candidate Ana Santos didn’t win, but achieved the biggest gain for any riding in NDP votes. Vancouver-Fairview, where former Suzuki Foundation director George Heyman managed a win over Margaret McDiarmid; David Eby in Point Grey, where tankers and pipelines were a major talking point.

But is that only a winning combination in certain urban ridings and an NDP vote-killer elsewhere? Or a new direction the party should contemplate?

Just a question to toss out among many. Go to town on election post-mortens here: the complete off-sidedness of the pollsters; the campaign message that worked; abysmal voter turnout; all of the above.

 

Categories: Uncategorized

  • Frank Ducote

    Tessa@98 – great insight. The same phenomenon usually happens in Washington state where the Cascade range is the great divide between coastal, urban Democrats and farmer-Republicans. I think the urban- rural split will continue to be with us for a very long time.

    In this election, however, the suburbs seem to have been where the Liberals won the war. I think a much deeper analysis will have to be undertaken to fully understand why suburban values and voting patterns differ so much from those of their very close neighbours – cities – which are the likely locations of their jobs, entertainment and educational institutions.

  • gman

    Whatever you do never venture to the other side of the mountain as legend has it it is populated by a tribe of people who are far behind on the evolutionary scale.Some say these people are intent on the total annihilation of Gaia and if they capture you you will be slow roasted over a pile of burning tires.

  • Bill

    @IanS #90

    Yes and no. Hypocrisy is not limited to Progressives but it is not the only the Al Gores I take exception to.

    Progressives represent a world view of increased wealth redistribution (including from future generations) and increased dependence on the state but with limited economic growth. This combination is going to lead to a very bad outcome because of an aging demographic that lives longer and will consume more health services.

    This means during their productive years people must produce enough to support themselves and their family, those who don’t produce enough, those who provide public services and still set enough aside to pay for their health care and longer retirement. And young people are delaying entry into the workforce which shortens their productive years.

    So no, I am not ok with Progressives that avoid hypocrisy.

  • Bill

    @Richard #91

    “Al Jazeera often has excellent coverage of climate change issues. Often better that the American media. The fact that it is owned by oil rich Qatar hasn’t seemed to affect its coverage of the issue.”

    To follow your logic then it’s ok to be a bully as long as you wear a pink shirt once a year. Or a homophobe as long as you sponsor a float in the Pride Parade. I think you are alone on this one Richard.

    And to quote Michael Mann? You really do not follow what’s happening in the climate change debate.

  • boohoo

    brilliant,

    Good to know you think everyone from Prince Rupert to Victoria is a parasite. BTW, where do you live?

  • boohoo

    Bill,

    We’re all hypocrites. Deal with it. That doesn’t mean we just abandon our ideals or beliefs just because we can’t adhere to them 100% of the time.

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/aug/06/activists.kingsnorthclimatecamp

    From the guardian article

    ‘Sure, we are hypocrites. Every one of us, almost by definition. Hypocrisy is the gap between your aspirations and your actions. Greens have high aspirations – they want to live more ethically – and they will always fall short. But the alternative to hypocrisy isn’t moral purity (no one manages that), but cynicism. Give me hypocrisy any day.’

  • Richard

    @bill

    Huh? Please take a basic logic course. Your arguments make no sense at all.

    My point was and still is that Al Jazeera seems to have journalistic freedom. Probably more than the corporate media in North America.

    Have no idea what you are getting at.

  • IanS

    @Bill #102:

    “Progressives represent a world view of increased wealth redistribution (including from future generations) and increased dependence on the state but with limited economic growth.”

    Well, to the extent that you object to this (perhaps overly simplistic summary, IMO) worldview, I think we are largely in agreement then, at least in principle. I am particularly concerned about the propensity for wealth distribution from the future, in the form of debt.

  • IanS

    @Bill #102:

    “Progressives represent a world view of increased wealth redistribution (including from future generations) and increased dependence on the state but with limited economic growth.”

    Well, to the extent that you object to this (perhaps overly simplistic summary, IMO) worldview, I think we are largely in agreement then, at least in principle. I am particularly concerned about the propensity for wealth distribution from the future, in the form of debt.

  • Bill

    @boohoo #105

    So boohoo is a Monbiot disciple – that does explain a lot.

    Monbiot’s definition of hypocrisy:

    “Hypocrisy is the gap between your aspirations and your actions.”

    Wikipedia (and numerous others) definition of hypocrisy:

    “Hypocrisy is the state of pretending to have virtues, moral or religious beliefs, principles, etc., that one does not actually have. Hypocrisy involves the deception of others and is thus a kind of lie.”

    You do see the difference don’t you?

  • Bill

    @Richard #106

    “Have no idea what you are getting at.”

    I didn’t think it was that opaque so let me start again:

    Qatar derives its considerable wealth (#1 in per capita income) from oil and is a major emitter of CO2 (again #1 in per capital emissions).

    Qatar provides funding for Al Jezeera.

    Al Gore has made a lot of money preaching that the emission of CO2 must be reduced or the planet is doomed.

    Al Gore sold his network to Al Jezeera for a reported $100 million, proceeds derived from the oil just as surely if he invested in oil production himself.

    Qatar allows Al Jezeera the journalistic freedom to promote the Progressive view on climate change (do you think Qatar is going to be sorry if the oil sands are shut down?).

    Qatar, emitter of CO2, and Al Gore gets dispensation from Progressives because Al Jezeera produces a few articles on climate change:

    Qatar/Al Gore: Al Jezeera journalistic independence

    Bully: Pink Shirt

    Homophobe: Float in Pride Parade.

  • boohoo

    Bill,

    Disciple? I’ve never heard of Monbiot. I just like that idea. But yeah, we all lie, we’re all hypocrites. So what’s your point.

    Have you never done anything or acted in a way that was contrary to what you wish you could have done if things were different?

    You pretend to be some holier than thou–I’ll take my hypocrisy, my wishing I could do things better over your cynicism, your pessimism, your tearing down of others all the time.

    Yeah, I drive when I have to, I eat meat on occasion, I’ll be flying this summer, etc… I’m no saint, nor am I pretending to be or lying about anything. But at least I’m not sitting here shitting on others for wanting to be different or to have the world around be what I consider a better place. That’s pathetic.

  • Chris Keam

    Actually, the real hypocrisy is hiding behind a pseudonym while naming and shaming others for their business decisions. Unless Bill is willing to man up and state who he is, so we can judge for ourselves his ethical purity, his opinion is worth less than the beer cans in my blue box… and I’ve been on a health kick of late… so do the math.

  • F.H.Leghorn

    And Chris descends yet again to ad hominem attacks on others’ opinions. “Real” name, pen name, no-name, who cares. What matters is the quality of the ideas and the ability to stick to the bloody point. Chris fails repeatedly on both.
    It seems the period of grieving over the defeat of the two-wheeled bleeding-heart Party continues.

  • Chris Keam

    Ummm, I addressed Bill’s point directly. The conversation went off-topic long ago. Do try to keep up.

  • gman

    Have a look at France to see what a Socialist government does.More than 100% of your income in taxes….wow….can someone tell me if that’s sustainable?
    http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/05/18/us-france-tax-idUSBRE94H0AX20130518

  • Bill

    @boohoo #111

    So you cited as an authority on hypocrisy someone you had never heard of before because you just liked that idea. I’m not sure what you feel quilty about but I don’t think it is hypocrisy as the rest of the world uses it (Chris Keam excepted) as the Wikipedia entry goes on to say:

    Hypocrisy is not simply failing to practice those virtues that one preaches. Samuel Johnson made this point when he wrote about the misuse of the charge of “hypocrisy” in Rambler No. 14:

    Nothing is more unjust, however common, than to charge with hypocrisy him that expresses zeal for those virtues which he neglects to practice; since he may be sincerely convinced of the advantages of conquering his passions, without having yet obtained the victory, as a man may be confident of the advantages of a voyage, or a journey, without having courage or industry to undertake it, and may honestly recommend to others, those attempts which he neglects himself

    But perhaps you have never of Samuel Johnson either and prefer Monbiot because you like his idea better.

  • Bill

    @Chris Keam #112

    Like boohoo you seem to have redefined the use of the word “hypocrisy”. I have never criticized anyone for commenting under a pseudonym so I do not think I am guilty of hypocrisy for using one myself. Nevertheless, I have a suggestion. Why not refuse to reply to any comments, in fact, don’t even read them, where the author uses a pseudonym. Somehow we will find a way to get by without your words of wisdom.

    Oh, and you really should refer to your Stylebook as I am pretty sure it would suggest using “person up” in place of “man up” so as to be more Gender inclusive. Wouldn’t want anyone to doubt your commitment to all things Progressive now would we.

  • boohoo

    Bill,

    Cited as an authority? I linked to a newspaper article that was on topic. I know you really want to pin me into some easily definable, stereotypical box so you can just ignore my points, but come on man.

    And I’ll ask you again, what’s your point? You act as though you aren’t a hypocrite. You sit here smugly just belittling, mocking, tearing down—for what? What are you trying to accomplish?

    It’s really easy to sit here and shit on everyone else, label them as ‘Progressives’ or ‘socialists’ or whatever other ignorant characterizations you want without bringing anything to the discussion yourself.

    I admit I’m flawed, I don’t always act 100% true to my beliefs or aspirations but that’s reality. To sit here and pretend you do, or to cynically just call other people out for it…how depressing for you.

  • Chris Keam

    @Bill

    Aren’t u a man?

    Bottom line is u are quick to judge but make sure none can assess yr ethics. Hypocrisy..

  • boohoo

    Bill–no, nothing, eh? Coward.

  • Bill Lee

    Would B.C. Greens pick NDP as their second choice? Data suggests no
    By Chad Skelton [ Blog, not in print ]
    May 22, 2013. 12:08 pm • Section: Provincial, The Data Trail

    http://blogs.vancouversun.com/2013/05/22/would-b-c-greens-pick-ndp-as-their-second-choice-data-suggests-no/

    “Last week, I got a fair bit of heat for an article I wrote noting that — had voters in 12 ridings voted NDP instead of Green – Adrian Dix would be premier now instead of Liberal leader Christy Clark.
    Does that mean the Green party split the left-of-centre vote and stole the election away from Dix? Not necessarily.
    In the 12 ridings where it would have made a difference, a significant majority of Greens would have had to have voted NDP to tip the balance in Dix’s favour.
    And, as I noted in last week’s article, we just don’t know what share of Green Party supporters would vote NDP if they didn’t have the option of voting Green. It’s almost certainly not 100%. But is it 40%? 50%? 70%? 80%? We just don’t know.
    Then, earlier this week, it occurred to me that we actually do have some data that could help answer this question. In the 2009 election, the Green Party ran a full slate of candidates in all 85 ridings. But in 2009, they only ran candidates in 61 ridings.
    That leaves 24 ridings where there was a Green Party candidate running in 2009 but not in 2013.
    If Green Party supporters are just NDPers at heart, we would expect the NDP vote in those 24 ridings to have increased significantly this year.
    Did it? Nope. Indeed, in 18 of the 24 ridings, the NDP’s share of the vote actually went down between 2009 and 2013.”
    [ insert table here ]

    “Now, there are a bunch of caveats here.”

    [ read more ….. ]

  • Bill

    @Chris Keam #119

    But Chris. Are we not all hypocrites? As that great Progressive George Monbiot wrote:

    “Sure, we are hypocrites. Every one of us, almost by definition. Hypocrisy is the gap between your aspirations and your actions. ”

    Have you never done anything or acted in a way that was contrary to what you wish you could have done if things were different?

  • Bill

    @boohoo #120

    ok, ok, I surrender. You are a hypocrite – flawed, don’t always act 100% true to your beliefs or aspirations, eat meat, travel in airplanes, etc etc.

    Satisfied?

  • boohoo

    Total non answer Bill. Stop being a coward.

  • Chris Keam

    “Have you never done anything or acted in a way that was contrary to what you wish you could have done if things were different?”

    Bill, are you saying you wish that you could put your own life up for examination, but there’s something holding you back? I think you are quite welcome to come clean on your investments and any financial considerations that inform your opinion. In fact there’s nothing stopping you from subjecting yourself to the same scrutiny and criticism that you feel comfortable delivering toward others.

    One is only left to wonder why is that sauce is good for Gore, but you aren’t willing to subject your person to a dip in the au jus of similar treatment? This strikes me as the essence of hypocrisy (the double standard), rather than the agreed upon red herring of failing to embody our best hopes… a position anyone can lay claim to without hypocrisy.

  • Bill

    @Chris Keam

    “I think you are quite welcome to come clean on your investments and any financial considerations that inform your opinion. In fact there’s nothing stopping you from subjecting yourself to the same scrutiny and criticism that you feel comfortable delivering toward others”

    Chris Keam April 24, 2013:

    “All the money and time in the world and the best they can do is take selfies of their conspicuous consumption? I don’t get the sense it’s a subtle protest against tax rates of anti-poverty politics. They are just useless consumers who foolishly waste monetary resources on propping up their vanity, instead of helping those in need. I find it revolting.”

    Care to reveal all the details of how you spend your money?

  • Frank Ducote

    Sigh. Yet again this shows how a once-engaging blog has evolved into an endless and rather meaningless point and counterpoint about absolutely nothing related to the original posting.

    Bill in particular – I suggest your constant harangues are getting a tad tiresome. Please try and stay on topic for awhile if you don’t mind and leave the personal crap out of it.

  • Bill

    Frank, I am sure Chris will appreciate you jumping in and bailing him out and you are certainly entitled to your opinion but I am curious why boohoo and Chris were spared your admonishment. Perhaps it is bad form to criticize a fellow Progressive.

  • Frank Ducote

    Keep it up, Bill. Your simplicisms are priceless. Oh, make that worthless.

  • Chris Keam

    “Care to reveal all the details of how you spend your money?”

    My point has consistently been about how someone gains money w/r/t to judging others, not how they spend it. Your examples don’t match. And sorry Frank, you are quite right. I’ll leave Bill to his false comparisons and try to stay on topic.

  • F.H.Leghorn

    Try harder.

  • Bill

    @Chris Keam #130

    So it is perfectly acceptable to judge how one spends their income but it is totally unacceptable to judge how they gain the income that they spend. Keep torturing common sense like that and you are bound to attract the attention of Amnesty International.

  • Chris Keam

    http://articles.chicagotribune.com/2012-12-26/opinion/ct-perspec-1226-anonymity-20121226_1_anonymous-online-comments-anonymous-accusations-anonymous-commentary/2

  • Chris Keam

    “Anonymity is morally defensible when its purpose is to protect one’s career or livelihood, but it becomes a form of cowardice — and thus reprehensible — when used to provide cover for character assassination”

    http://chronicle.com/blogs/onhiring/the-ethics-of-anonymity/29097

  • Chris Keam

    “We demand increasing transparency from our governments, corporations and charities. Shouldn’t we ask the same of ourselves?”

    http://www.thebusinessethicsblog.com/how-ethical-is-anonymous-online-bashing

  • F.H.Leghorn

    In Chris’ case it’s a question of too much information and all of it the same.
    His identity is proudly proclaimed, but that doesn’t make what he says interesting or worthwhile. Bill could be anybody, but he has an interesting take on things. Plus he keeps it short.

  • Chris Keam

    http://www.salon.com/2013/04/24/why_people_believe_in_conspiracy_theories/

  • gman

    CK
    The Lewandowski paper was retracted rewritten and disappeared again.It was absolute junk science and they flat out lied about their methods.
    http://retractionwatch.wordpress.com/2013/03/28/why-publishers-should-explain-why-papers-disappear-the-complicated-lewandowsky-study-saga/
    I could link to several articles that completely debunk it but you probably wouldn’t read them anyway.

  • Boohoo

    interesting take? he spews insults and when called goes silent. typical internet tough guy.

  • Lewis N. Villegas

    I think a much deeper analysis will have to be undertaken to fully understand why suburban values and voting patterns differ so much from those of their very close neighbours – cities – which are the likely locations of their jobs, entertainment and educational institutions.

    Frank Ducote 100

    Think back to Bay Area San Francisco. Does downtown still rule? How much diversification has the high-tech sector brought? Will San Jose ever challenge? Transportation choices have been outstripped by much smaller Portland. And the cultural scene is not what you get in L.A.

  • Chris Keam

    http://www.shapingtomorrowsworld.org/Recursive-Fury-Facts-misrepresentations.html

  • gman

    CK#141
    You might want to check the dates before you throw more crap at the wall to see what sticks.You certainly don’t understand what the problems are and they didn’t address them in your link,just more fluff and propaganda.But of coarse you would have to read it to understand it,maybe read the comments at you’re link would lead to some enlightenment.Youre link was March 22,the retraction post was March 28th.I wont bother with this anymore,have a nice day.

  • Chris Keam

    Gman:

    I think you are making the faulty assumption that I am going to waste time arguing with conspiracy theorists, or checking their links. The authors provided a rebuttal, I’ll let them speak for themselves with the link provided.

    cheers,
    CK

  • Bill

    @gman $142

    You know that Chris has to have the last word and it is like playing whack-a-mole when he works himself into a corner. That is why I did not respond to his rant about anonymity and point out that the vast majority of commentors on both sides of the issues are anonymous and some on both sides are equally adept at tossing out the odd personal barb. As well, I did not ask how you can assassinate the character of someone who is posting anonymously. Instead, like you I will not bother with this anymore and let his comments from 133 to 135 go unchallenged.

  • Chris Keam

    @Bill:

    At risk of having the last word, I must say your reading comprehension is absolutely abysmal, or you are deliberating misinterpreting my comments.

    Either way, it’s clearly a waste of time to try to spell out for you the ethical shortfall in attacking non-anonymous person from behind a psuedonym. One would think three links in a row making this argument would give you pause for thought, but I sense you may be an ‘ends justifies the means’ sort of fellow, so the Golden Rule might be a foreign concept to you. Nonetheless enjoy our warming globe (aka weather not climate) on this lovely weekend.

  • boohoo

    Bill,

    I’d gladly let you have the last word if you ever actually responded to questions without just calling me a ‘Progressive’.

    So, have at er.